https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2019/2019-08-21-event201.html
August 21, 2019 - Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security to host Event 201, a global pandemic exercise
Center News
Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security to host Event 201, a global pandemic exercise
August 21, 2019
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation will host a global pandemic exercise called “Event 201” on Friday, October 18, 2019, in New York City.
The exercise will illustrate the pandemic preparedness efforts, response decisions, and cooperation required from global businesses, governments, and public health leaders that the world will need to diminish the large-scale economic and societal consequences of a severe pandemic.
In recent years, the world has seen a growing number of epidemic events—approximately 200 events annually. These events are increasing, and they are disruptive to health, the economy, and society. Managing these events strains global capacity, even absent a pandemic threat. Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global—a pandemic with potentially catastrophic consequences. A severe pandemic, which becomes “Event 201,” would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.
15 global business, government, and public health leaders will be players in the 3.5-hour simulation exercise. Players will be presented with a pandemic scenario that highlights unresolved real-world policy and economic issues that could be solved with sufficient political will, financial investment, and attention now and in the future.
“We recognize that pandemics can have more than just health consequences, they can cause severe cascading economic and societal consequences,” said Eric Toner, MD, a senior associate at the Center and Event 201 project lead. “Neither the public sector nor the private sector alone can adequately respond to a severe pandemic; they must work together. That’s our goal for Event 201, and why an exercise of this kind is such a valuable and compelling way to help leaders understand the decisions needed to prevent, prepare for, and respond to biological threats.”
Recent economic studies show that pandemics will be the cause of an average annual economic loss of 0.7% of global GDP—or $570 billion. The players’ responses to the scenario will illuminate challenges to essential cooperation among industry, national governments, key international institutions, and civil society needed to avoid the catastrophic consequences that could arise from a pandemic of this nature.
“Outbreaks of infectious disease may be inevitable, but the economic damage they cause is not,” explained Ryan Morhard, the project lead for Global Health and Healthcare Industries at the World Economic Forum. “While most of the authority rests with the public sector, most of the resources and capabilities exist in the private sector. Sustained attention from a broad public-private coalition is needed in advance of a severe pandemic to minimize economic and societal consequences.”
Like the Center’s 3 previous exercises—Clade X, Dark Winter, and Atlantic Storm—Event 201 will educate senior leaders at the highest level of US and international governments and leaders in global industries.
Chris Elias, president of global development at the Gates Foundation noted that “Event 201 and its predecessor simulations like Clade X are crucial tools to understand not only what is needed to effectively respond to global public health crises, but also the consequences of what happens when we are not prepared.”
The exercise is supported by funding from the Open Philanthropy Project.
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https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2019/2019-10-15-event201.html
Center News
Players for Event 201, a pandemic exercise, include global business leaders and prominent government and public health leaders—livestream open to all
October 15, 2019
Former and current global business, government, and public health leaders will play a team of high-level decision makers convened to recommend actions to diminish the large-scale economic and societal consequences of a fictional outbreak of a severe pandemic scenario in the upcoming Event 201. The exercise, and virtual exercise, hosted by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, takes place Friday, October 18, 2019, in New York City.
The pandemic simulation will also livestream to the public, 8:50 a.m.-12:30 p.m. EDT with a break at about 10:15 a.m. Live coverage of the scenario videos and briefings will be shown, but discussions among players at the table will not. Viewers will instead participate in their own moderated online discussion during those times. The event runs through 12:30 p.m. Participants pre-register and view here.
In the 3.5-hour exercise, the players will be presented with a pandemic scenario that highlights unresolved real-world policy and economic issues that could be solved with sufficient political will, financial investment, and attention now and in the future. It will illustrate the pandemic preparedness efforts, response decisions, and cooperation required from global businesses, governments, and public health leaders.
As the video-driven scenario unfolds, the players will engage in a series of simulated meetings informed by briefings and injects from Center for Health Security staff. The players’ discussions and the host’s recommendations will illustrate high-level strategic decisions and policies that public and private entities around the world will need to pursue in order to prevent a pandemic or diminish its consequences should prevention fail.
The players play their real or former professional roles and come from a number of countries and industries essential to response and to keeping society and economies moving.
Tom Inglesby, MD, director of the Center for Health Security, will facilitate the discussion at the tabletop exercise.
This is the first scenario in the series to focus on the global economic threats of a pandemic. Similar to the Center’s three previous exercises, Clade X, Dark Winter, and Atlantic Storm, Event 201 will educate senior leaders at the highest level of U.S. and international governments and leaders in global industries.
Limited audience seating at Event 201 is by invitation only. Members of the press interested in attending may contact Carol Miller.
More information is available at centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201 and on Twitter at #Event201,![[profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
jhsph_chs, wef, and gatesfoundation.
===
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/
Event 201
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hosted Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. The exercise illustrated areas where public/private partnerships will be necessary during the response to a severe pandemic in order to diminish large-scale economic and societal consequences.
Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise
In recent years, the world has seen a growing number of epidemic events, amounting to approximately 200 events annually. These events are increasing, and they are disruptive to health, economies, and society. Managing these events already strains global capacity, even absent a pandemic threat. Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global—a pandemic with potentially catastrophic consequences. A severe pandemic, which becomes “Event 201,” would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.
===
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.html
The Event 201 scenario
Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.
The disease starts in pig farms in Brazil, quietly and slowly at first, but then it starts to spread more rapidly in healthcare settings. When it starts to spread efficiently from person to person in the low-income, densely packed neighborhoods of some of the megacities in South America, the epidemic explodes. It is first exported by air travel to Portugal, the United States, and China and then to many other countries. Although at first some countries are able to control it, it continues to spread and be reintroduced, and eventually no country can maintain control.
There is no possibility of a vaccine being available in the first year. There is a fictional antiviral drug that can help the sick but not significantly limit spread of the disease.
Since the whole human population is susceptible, during the initial months of the pandemic, the cumulative number of cases increases exponentially, doubling every week. And as the cases and deaths accumulate, the economic and societal consequences become increasingly severe.
The scenario ends at the 18-month point, with 65 million deaths. The pandemic is beginning to slow due to the decreasing number of susceptible people. The pandemic will continue at some rate until there is an effective vaccine or until 80-90 % of the global population has been exposed. From that point on, it is likely to be an endemic childhood disease.
August 21, 2019 - Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security to host Event 201, a global pandemic exercise
Center News
Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security to host Event 201, a global pandemic exercise
August 21, 2019
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation will host a global pandemic exercise called “Event 201” on Friday, October 18, 2019, in New York City.
The exercise will illustrate the pandemic preparedness efforts, response decisions, and cooperation required from global businesses, governments, and public health leaders that the world will need to diminish the large-scale economic and societal consequences of a severe pandemic.
In recent years, the world has seen a growing number of epidemic events—approximately 200 events annually. These events are increasing, and they are disruptive to health, the economy, and society. Managing these events strains global capacity, even absent a pandemic threat. Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global—a pandemic with potentially catastrophic consequences. A severe pandemic, which becomes “Event 201,” would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.
15 global business, government, and public health leaders will be players in the 3.5-hour simulation exercise. Players will be presented with a pandemic scenario that highlights unresolved real-world policy and economic issues that could be solved with sufficient political will, financial investment, and attention now and in the future.
“We recognize that pandemics can have more than just health consequences, they can cause severe cascading economic and societal consequences,” said Eric Toner, MD, a senior associate at the Center and Event 201 project lead. “Neither the public sector nor the private sector alone can adequately respond to a severe pandemic; they must work together. That’s our goal for Event 201, and why an exercise of this kind is such a valuable and compelling way to help leaders understand the decisions needed to prevent, prepare for, and respond to biological threats.”
Recent economic studies show that pandemics will be the cause of an average annual economic loss of 0.7% of global GDP—or $570 billion. The players’ responses to the scenario will illuminate challenges to essential cooperation among industry, national governments, key international institutions, and civil society needed to avoid the catastrophic consequences that could arise from a pandemic of this nature.
“Outbreaks of infectious disease may be inevitable, but the economic damage they cause is not,” explained Ryan Morhard, the project lead for Global Health and Healthcare Industries at the World Economic Forum. “While most of the authority rests with the public sector, most of the resources and capabilities exist in the private sector. Sustained attention from a broad public-private coalition is needed in advance of a severe pandemic to minimize economic and societal consequences.”
Like the Center’s 3 previous exercises—Clade X, Dark Winter, and Atlantic Storm—Event 201 will educate senior leaders at the highest level of US and international governments and leaders in global industries.
Chris Elias, president of global development at the Gates Foundation noted that “Event 201 and its predecessor simulations like Clade X are crucial tools to understand not only what is needed to effectively respond to global public health crises, but also the consequences of what happens when we are not prepared.”
The exercise is supported by funding from the Open Philanthropy Project.
===
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2019/2019-10-15-event201.html
Center News
Players for Event 201, a pandemic exercise, include global business leaders and prominent government and public health leaders—livestream open to all
October 15, 2019
Former and current global business, government, and public health leaders will play a team of high-level decision makers convened to recommend actions to diminish the large-scale economic and societal consequences of a fictional outbreak of a severe pandemic scenario in the upcoming Event 201. The exercise, and virtual exercise, hosted by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, takes place Friday, October 18, 2019, in New York City.
The pandemic simulation will also livestream to the public, 8:50 a.m.-12:30 p.m. EDT with a break at about 10:15 a.m. Live coverage of the scenario videos and briefings will be shown, but discussions among players at the table will not. Viewers will instead participate in their own moderated online discussion during those times. The event runs through 12:30 p.m. Participants pre-register and view here.
In the 3.5-hour exercise, the players will be presented with a pandemic scenario that highlights unresolved real-world policy and economic issues that could be solved with sufficient political will, financial investment, and attention now and in the future. It will illustrate the pandemic preparedness efforts, response decisions, and cooperation required from global businesses, governments, and public health leaders.
As the video-driven scenario unfolds, the players will engage in a series of simulated meetings informed by briefings and injects from Center for Health Security staff. The players’ discussions and the host’s recommendations will illustrate high-level strategic decisions and policies that public and private entities around the world will need to pursue in order to prevent a pandemic or diminish its consequences should prevention fail.
The players play their real or former professional roles and come from a number of countries and industries essential to response and to keeping society and economies moving.
Tom Inglesby, MD, director of the Center for Health Security, will facilitate the discussion at the tabletop exercise.
This is the first scenario in the series to focus on the global economic threats of a pandemic. Similar to the Center’s three previous exercises, Clade X, Dark Winter, and Atlantic Storm, Event 201 will educate senior leaders at the highest level of U.S. and international governments and leaders in global industries.
Limited audience seating at Event 201 is by invitation only. Members of the press interested in attending may contact Carol Miller.
More information is available at centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201 and on Twitter at #Event201,
jhsph_chs, wef, and gatesfoundation.===
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/
Event 201
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hosted Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. The exercise illustrated areas where public/private partnerships will be necessary during the response to a severe pandemic in order to diminish large-scale economic and societal consequences.
Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise
In recent years, the world has seen a growing number of epidemic events, amounting to approximately 200 events annually. These events are increasing, and they are disruptive to health, economies, and society. Managing these events already strains global capacity, even absent a pandemic threat. Experts agree that it is only a matter of time before one of these epidemics becomes global—a pandemic with potentially catastrophic consequences. A severe pandemic, which becomes “Event 201,” would require reliable cooperation among several industries, national governments, and key international institutions.
===
https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/scenario.html
The Event 201 scenario
Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms.
The disease starts in pig farms in Brazil, quietly and slowly at first, but then it starts to spread more rapidly in healthcare settings. When it starts to spread efficiently from person to person in the low-income, densely packed neighborhoods of some of the megacities in South America, the epidemic explodes. It is first exported by air travel to Portugal, the United States, and China and then to many other countries. Although at first some countries are able to control it, it continues to spread and be reintroduced, and eventually no country can maintain control.
There is no possibility of a vaccine being available in the first year. There is a fictional antiviral drug that can help the sick but not significantly limit spread of the disease.
Since the whole human population is susceptible, during the initial months of the pandemic, the cumulative number of cases increases exponentially, doubling every week. And as the cases and deaths accumulate, the economic and societal consequences become increasingly severe.
The scenario ends at the 18-month point, with 65 million deaths. The pandemic is beginning to slow due to the decreasing number of susceptible people. The pandemic will continue at some rate until there is an effective vaccine or until 80-90 % of the global population has been exposed. From that point on, it is likely to be an endemic childhood disease.
